Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | BRY -142 ME +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +6 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -2.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.5 (+18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -0.9 (+5.1) | 125.2 (+14.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -1.5 (+4.5) | 126.3 (+13.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -1.9 (+4.1) | 126.6 (+13.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -1.6 (+4.4) | 127.0 (+13.0) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | BRY 56 – 51 ME |
| Mar 15, 2025 | BRY 79 – 59 ME |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BRY 80 – 72 ME |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BRY 81 – 55 ME |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BRY 84 – 58 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 6-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 4-8 |
| Away | 1-17 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 61.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 68.5 |
| Massey | -13.3 (#343) | -12.8 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#348) | -2.53 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.92 (#342) | -3.19 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#333) | 0.392 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 63.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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