Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -165 ME +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +26 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -2.9 (+23.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -1.1 (+24.9) | 147.6 (-11.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -2.8 (+23.2) | 147.0 (-11.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -0.1 (+26.1) | 147.9 (-11.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -0.5 (+25.5) | 148.7 (-12.7) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BRY 73 – 67 ME |
| Jan 3, 2026 | BRY 56 – 51 ME |
| Mar 15, 2025 | BRY 79 – 59 ME |
| Mar 1, 2025 | BRY 80 – 72 ME |
| Mar 9, 2024 | BRY 84 – 58 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | ME |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 10-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 10-7 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#237) | -3.0 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#249) | -0.50 (#219) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#230) | -0.56 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#227) | 0.470 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | ME |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 28.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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