Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | LIU -600 STO +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +7 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -12.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -9.6 (-2.6) | 133.4 (-18.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -10.7 (-3.7) | 132.0 (-17.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -10.6 (-3.6) | 130.6 (-15.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -10.1 (-3.1) | 132.2 (-17.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | LIU 66 – 63 STO |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LIU 62 – 59 STO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LIU 70 – 60 STO |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LIU 63 – 60 STO |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LIU 73 – 68 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 10-9 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#195) | -11.6 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#166) | -2.21 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#175) | -2.98 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#148) | 0.407 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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