Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | LIU -145 STO +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +3 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -3.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -0.5 (+2.5) | 131.7 (-10.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -2.7 (+0.3) | 129.3 (-8.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -0.8 (+2.2) | 130.6 (-9.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -1.5 (+1.5) | 131.7 (-10.7) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | LIU 61 – 54 STO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | LIU 66 – 63 STO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LIU 70 – 60 STO |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LIU 63 – 60 STO |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LIU 73 – 68 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.5 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#303) | -8.7 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#300) | -1.25 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#306) | -1.58 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#289) | 0.436 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.1% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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