Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | LIU -165 STO +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +3 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | LIU -3.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -3.1 (-0.1) | 139.4 (-16.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -1.8 (+1.2) | 139.9 (-16.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -3.3 (-0.3) | 136.6 (-13.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -3.4 (-0.4) | 136.6 (-13.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | LIU 61 – 54 STO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | LIU 66 – 63 STO |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LIU 62 – 59 STO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LIU 70 – 60 STO |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LIU 73 – 68 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 2-14 |
| Home | 5-4 | 4-8 |
| Away | 1-17 | 0-19 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -15.2 (#352) | -15.3 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#336) | -3.44 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.81 (#336) | -4.20 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#343) | 0.377 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 15.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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