Betting Lines
| Spread | LIU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | STO +235 LIU -290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +3 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | LIU -5.9 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIU -5.0 (+2.0) | 134.5 (-5.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIU -5.9 (+2.9) | 134.7 (-5.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIU -6.2 (+3.2) | 132.7 (-3.7) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIU -5.3 (+2.3) | 133.2 (-4.2) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | LIU 61 – 54 STO |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LIU 62 – 59 STO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LIU 70 – 60 STO |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LIU 63 – 60 STO |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LIU 73 – 68 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 4-15 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.2 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#332) | -2.9 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.78 (#348) | -0.19 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.51 (#351) | -0.38 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.377 (#349) | 0.498 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 37.8% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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