Betting Lines
| Spread | STO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | STO -150 LIU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +10 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | STO -5.8 (-15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STO -4.5 (-14.5) | 132.5 (-2.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STO -4.1 (-14.1) | 133.2 (-3.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STO -4.0 (-14.0) | 132.2 (-2.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STO -4.3 (-14.3) | 133.0 (-3.0) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | LIU 61 – 54 STO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | LIU 66 – 63 STO |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LIU 62 – 59 STO |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LIU 63 – 60 STO |
| Jan 6, 2024 | LIU 73 – 68 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 12-4 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 65.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#286) | -8.8 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.67 (#230) | -1.58 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#226) | -1.91 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#260) | 0.422 (#310) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 37.8% |
Game Analysis
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