Betting Lines
| Spread | STO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | STO -150 LIU +126 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIU +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | STO -4.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (-2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STO -3.0 (-8.0) | 141.4 (-0.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STO -1.7 (-6.7) | 139.4 (+1.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STO -1.8 (-6.8) | 139.2 (+1.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STO -1.5 (-6.5) | 141.9 (-0.9) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | LIU 61 – 54 STO |
| Jan 24, 2026 | LIU 66 – 63 STO |
| Feb 8, 2025 | LIU 62 – 59 STO |
| Jan 11, 2025 | LIU 70 – 60 STO |
| Jan 26, 2024 | LIU 63 – 60 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 7-22 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 6-10 |
| Home | 4-8 | 5-4 |
| Away | 0-19 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -14.0 (#350) | -13.9 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#344) | -1.98 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.36 (#343) | -2.63 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#322) | 0.384 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.2% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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