Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | HC +102 LEH -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HC +9 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | HC -0.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HC -0.8 (+8.2) | 140.2 (+2.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HC -1.1 (+7.9) | 141.5 (+1.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HC -0.3 (+8.7) | 138.1 (+4.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HC -0.2 (+8.8) | 139.0 (+4.0) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | LEH 69 – 66 HC |
| Jan 7, 2026 | LEH 66 – 58 HC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LEH 72 – 60 HC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LEH 69 – 67 HC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | LEH 78 – 72 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-8 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#320) | -8.6 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#326) | -1.65 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.53 (#330) | -2.64 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#334) | 0.436 (#295) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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