Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | LEH -148 HC +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +8 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -3.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -1.3 (+6.7) | 132.6 (-8.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -2.0 (+6.0) | 133.6 (-9.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -0.5 (+7.5) | 133.4 (-9.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -1.5 (+6.5) | 133.9 (-9.9) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | LEH 69 – 66 HC |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HC 76 – 67 LEH |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LEH 72 – 60 HC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LEH 69 – 67 HC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | LEH 78 – 72 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#317) | -10.5 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.94 (#348) | -1.54 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.17 (#351) | -2.33 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#351) | 0.429 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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