Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | HC +145 LEH -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +6 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -5.3 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -4.4 (-1.6) | 141.8 (+8.2) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -6.5 (+0.5) | 141.8 (+8.2) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -4.3 (-1.7) | 141.4 (+8.6) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -4.2 (-1.8) | 142.9 (+7.1) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | LEH 69 – 66 HC |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HC 76 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 7, 2026 | LEH 66 – 58 HC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LEH 72 – 60 HC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LEH 69 – 67 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-8 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-14 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -14.5 (#348) | -5.5 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.67 (#350) | -2.65 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.59 (#353) | -2.91 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.370 (#357) | 0.402 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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