Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | LEH -258 HC +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -6.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -4.8 (-1.8) | 141.5 (-6.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -3.9 (-0.9) | 141.1 (-6.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -4.7 (-1.7) | 144.5 (-9.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -5.1 (-2.1) | 143.5 (-8.5) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | HC 76 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 7, 2026 | LEH 66 – 58 HC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LEH 72 – 60 HC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LEH 69 – 67 HC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | LEH 78 – 72 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#291) | -11.3 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#282) | -2.03 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#311) | -2.61 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#249) | 0.414 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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