Betting Lines
| Spread | HC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | HC -130 LEH +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +2 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | HC -3.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HC -2.0 (-4.0) | 136.7 (-0.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HC -2.7 (-4.7) | 136.4 (-0.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HC -3.1 (-5.1) | 138.4 (-2.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HC -2.2 (-4.2) | 137.9 (-1.9) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | LEH 69 – 66 HC |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HC 76 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 7, 2026 | LEH 66 – 58 HC |
| Feb 15, 2025 | LEH 72 – 60 HC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | LEH 78 – 72 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HC | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 7-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#301) | -8.3 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#238) | -1.76 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#265) | -2.37 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#203) | 0.421 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HC | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 19.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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