Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | LEH -215 HC +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +12 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -4.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -3.4 (+8.6) | 138.1 (-6.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -4.3 (+7.7) | 137.6 (-5.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -3.2 (+8.8) | 139.5 (-7.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -3.4 (+8.6) | 139.2 (-7.2) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | LEH 69 – 66 HC |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HC 76 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 7, 2026 | LEH 66 – 58 HC |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LEH 69 – 67 HC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | LEH 78 – 72 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 3-14 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#284) | -8.8 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#309) | -1.06 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#312) | -1.54 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#296) | 0.466 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 20.1% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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