Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | VAN -900 OU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +1 | 183 | Lost |
| Massey | VAN -15.2 (-16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.6 (+18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -13.3 (-14.3) | 157.6 (+25.4) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -14.0 (-15.0) | 157.0 (+26.0) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -15.0 (-16.0) | 158.2 (+24.8) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -15.6 (-16.6) | 161.9 (+21.1) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2025 | OU 97 – 67 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.7 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 21.0 (#11) | 8.8 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#14) | 0.86 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.47 (#15) | 1.47 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#11) | 0.489 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.81 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.3% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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