Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -120 IDHO +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -3.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -2.2 (+2.8) | 146.8 (-5.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -2.7 (+2.3) | 146.7 (-5.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -2.5 (+2.5) | 144.1 (-3.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -2.3 (+2.7) | 144.8 (-3.8) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | IDHO 77 – 66 MONT |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MONT 79 – 73 IDHO |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MONT 78 – 55 IDHO |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MONT 72 – 67 IDHO |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MONT 73 – 71 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#162) | -0.0 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#188) | -0.21 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#178) | -0.19 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#191) | 0.480 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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