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Montana Grizzlies
66 77
FINAL Neutral Conference Big Sky
Idaho Vandals
Big Sky Conference · Idaho Central Arena (Neutral) · March 12, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread IDHO -3.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money MONT +150 / IDHO -180
Model Predictions
Spread Total MONT win
Actual IDHO +11 143 Lost
Massey IDHO -2.2 (-8.8)
Massey Totals 147.7 (-4.7)
Bradley-Terry 51%
Weighted B-T 49%
Efficiency Plus ML IDHO -1.0 (-10.0) 145.5 (-2.5) 44%
Baseline Tuned ML IDHO -1.9 (-9.1) 143.6 (-0.6) 44%
Baseline ML IDHO -2.2 (-8.8) 145.0 (-2.0) 40%
Baseline Plus ML IDHO -2.0 (-9.0) 146.1 (-3.1) 42%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 MONT 7368 IDHO
Jan 9, 2026 MONT 7973 IDHO
Mar 12, 2025 MONT 7855 IDHO
Jan 21, 2025 MONT 7267 IDHO
Jan 4, 2025 MONT 7371 IDHO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MONT IDHO
Overall 18-16 21-15
Conference 10-8 9-9
Home 11-6 9-4
Away 5-9 7-9
Neutral 2-1 5-2
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.7 75.8
Avg Pts Against 77.6 74.1
Massey -1.2 (#183) 1.0 (#150)
Bradley-Terry -0.19 (#184) -0.21 (#188)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.22 (#181) -0.17 (#176)
RPI 0.504 (#177) 0.489 (#212)
Shooting & Four Factors MONT IDHO
FG% 48.4% 43.9%
3PT% 37.1% 34.8%
REB / G 32.7 36.2
OREB / G 6.3 10.3
AST / TO 1.05 1.12
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.2% 52.1%
TOV% 19.6% 15.2%
ORB% 21.1% 28.7%
FT Rate 28.4% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.7% 50.5%
Opp TOV% 14.4% 15.0%
DRB% 70.5% 75.3%
Opp FT Rate 23.0% 29.2%

Game Analysis

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