Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | MONT +150 IDHO -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +11 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -2.2 (-8.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -2.7 (-8.3) | 144.9 (-1.9) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -1.9 (-9.1) | 145.0 (-2.0) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -2.1 (-8.9) | 142.9 (+0.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -2.4 (-8.6) | 143.8 (-0.8) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MONT 73 – 68 IDHO |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MONT 79 – 73 IDHO |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MONT 78 – 55 IDHO |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MONT 72 – 67 IDHO |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MONT 73 – 71 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#183) | 1.0 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#184) | -0.21 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#181) | -0.17 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#177) | 0.489 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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