Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | IDHO -218 MONT +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +6 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -6.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -5.5 (-11.5) | 148.5 (+3.5) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -4.2 (-10.2) | 148.5 (+3.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -4.7 (-10.7) | 146.5 (+5.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -4.9 (-10.9) | 148.3 (+3.7) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | IDHO 77 – 66 MONT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | MONT 73 – 68 IDHO |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MONT 78 – 55 IDHO |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MONT 72 – 67 IDHO |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MONT 73 – 71 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 77.6 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#155) | -2.2 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#143) | -0.15 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#148) | -0.29 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#176) | 0.492 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 30.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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