Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -340 IDHO +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +23 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -4.7 (+18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -4.8 (+18.2) | 146.3 (-13.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -5.1 (+17.9) | 144.0 (-11.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -5.0 (+18.0) | 146.1 (-13.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -5.0 (+18.0) | 145.9 (-12.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | IDHO 77 – 66 MONT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | MONT 73 – 68 IDHO |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MONT 79 – 73 IDHO |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MONT 72 – 67 IDHO |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MONT 73 – 71 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#175) | -5.6 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#109) | -0.98 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#125) | -1.18 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.571 (#56) | 0.456 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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