Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | MONT -210 IDHO +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -4.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-13.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -3.6 (+1.4) | 147.3 (-8.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -4.2 (+0.8) | 145.6 (-6.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -3.0 (+2.0) | 146.0 (-7.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -3.0 (+2.0) | 145.8 (-6.8) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | IDHO 77 – 66 MONT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | MONT 73 – 68 IDHO |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MONT 79 – 73 IDHO |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MONT 78 – 55 IDHO |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MONT 73 – 71 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-1 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#227) | -4.5 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#144) | -0.85 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#171) | -1.02 (#245) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#120) | 0.442 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.