Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | IDHO +120 MONT -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -0.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -0.2 (-2.2) | 148.9 (-4.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -0.1 (-2.1) | 147.9 (-3.9) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -1.3 (-3.3) | 148.7 (-4.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -0.8 (-2.8) | 149.9 (-5.9) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | IDHO 77 – 66 MONT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | MONT 73 – 68 IDHO |
| Jan 9, 2026 | MONT 79 – 73 IDHO |
| Mar 12, 2025 | MONT 78 – 55 IDHO |
| Jan 21, 2025 | MONT 72 – 67 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#240) | -0.7 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#229) | 0.77 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#224) | 0.94 (#112) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#209) | 0.557 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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