Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | VMI +850 ETSU -1450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +17 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | ETSU -17.1 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -12.9 (-4.1) | 142.9 (+14.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -14.6 (-2.4) | 141.9 (+15.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -13.3 (-3.7) | 143.6 (+13.4) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -13.4 (-3.6) | 142.1 (+14.9) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | ETSU 81 – 67 VMI |
| Feb 5, 2025 | ETSU 62 – 55 VMI |
| Jan 1, 2025 | ETSU 84 – 69 VMI |
| Mar 9, 2024 | ETSU 98 – 66 VMI |
| Feb 22, 2024 | ETSU 82 – 69 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 13-5 |
| Home | 5-9 | 13-4 |
| Away | 1-14 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L17 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -17.3 (#357) | 2.8 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#354) | 0.08 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.58 (#353) | 0.07 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.373 (#357) | 0.520 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 60.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.