Betting Lines
| Spread | ETSU -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | ETSU -2500 VMI +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ETSU +32 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | ETSU -15.2 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ETSU -14.5 (+17.5) | 142.1 (+21.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETSU -13.2 (+18.8) | 144.8 (+19.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETSU -14.7 (+17.3) | 142.3 (+21.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ETSU -14.9 (+17.1) | 142.5 (+21.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ETSU 87 – 70 VMI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | ETSU 81 – 67 VMI |
| Feb 5, 2025 | ETSU 62 – 55 VMI |
| Jan 1, 2025 | ETSU 84 – 69 VMI |
| Feb 22, 2024 | ETSU 82 – 69 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETSU | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 1-17 |
| Home | 10-4 | 4-10 |
| Away | 5-11 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 84.9 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#203) | -17.4 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#168) | -3.49 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#172) | -3.98 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#172) | 0.372 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETSU | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.