Betting Lines
| Spread | NHVN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | NHVN -245 CHST +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NHVN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHST +6 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | NHVN -6.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NHVN -5.7 (-11.7) | 127.2 (-7.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NHVN -4.6 (-10.6) | 129.0 (-9.0) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NHVN -5.1 (-11.1) | 130.4 (-10.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NHVN -3.8 (-9.8) | 126.3 (-6.3) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 20, 2026 | NHVN 62 – 56 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NHVN | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 5-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.5 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 76.5 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#323) | -14.1 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#321) | -3.27 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#319) | -4.10 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#288) | 0.378 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NHVN | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 57.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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