Betting Lines
| Spread | CHST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | CHST -120 NHVN +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NHVN +6 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | CHST -1.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NHVN -0.6 (-5.4) | 127.6 (-9.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NHVN -1.5 (-4.5) | 128.8 (-10.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NHVN -1.1 (-4.9) | 129.9 (-11.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NHVN -0.7 (-5.3) | 128.1 (-10.1) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | CHST 63 – 57 NHVN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | NHVN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 2-19 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#344) | -11.4 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.57 (#359) | -1.69 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.27 (#357) | -2.27 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#347) | 0.443 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | NHVN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.6% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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