Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH +105 M-OH -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +16 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | M-OH -3.4 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -0.3 (-15.7) | 158.3 (+5.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -0.9 (-15.1) | 160.0 (+4.0) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -0.9 (-15.1) | 159.2 (+4.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -0.7 (-15.3) | 158.3 (+5.7) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | M-OH 79 – 74 MRSH |
| Nov 18, 2022 | MRSH 95 – 69 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 32-2 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 18-0 |
| Home | 13-4 | 16-0 |
| Away | 6-8 | 14-0 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 86.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#148) | 7.4 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#128) | 3.96 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#142) | 4.89 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#86) | 0.592 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 51.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 59.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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