Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | MRSH -700 M-OH +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -7.6 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -9.8 (-14.8) | 146.2 (+6.8) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -5.1 (-10.1) | 145.7 (+7.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -5.6 (-10.6) | 147.1 (+5.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -6.0 (-11.0) | 145.3 (+7.7) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | M-OH 90 – 74 MRSH |
| Nov 18, 2022 | MRSH 95 – 69 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#247) | -5.6 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#243) | -1.62 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#229) | -2.43 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#222) | 0.415 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 19.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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