Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH +220 MRSH -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +26 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | M-OH -0.2 (-26.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -4.8 (-21.2) | 161.4 (+2.6) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -1.5 (-24.5) | 155.2 (+8.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -1.5 (-24.5) | 154.6 (+9.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -6.3 (-19.7) | 155.1 (+8.9) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | M-OH 90 – 74 MRSH |
| Dec 3, 2023 | M-OH 79 – 74 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 24-8 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 9-9 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 81.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#262) | 4.3 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.84 (#355) | -0.37 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.04 (#352) | -0.27 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.250 (#334) | 0.250 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 17.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 2.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 12.4% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 39.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 3.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 22.4% |
| DRB% | 61.4% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.1% | 11.8% |
Game Analysis
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