Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | BELL +120 FGCU -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +16 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -0.7 (+16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -0.8 (+16.8) | 153.4 (-7.4) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -0.5 (+15.5) | 152.5 (-6.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -0.5 (+15.5) | 154.5 (-8.5) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -0.3 (+15.7) | 153.9 (-7.9) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2025 | FGCU 80 – 61 BELL |
| Jan 23, 2025 | FGCU 77 – 61 BELL |
| Feb 11, 2024 | FGCU 63 – 52 BELL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BELL 61 – 41 FGCU |
| Mar 4, 2022 | BELL 81 – 68 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.3 | 78.0 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#280) | -3.9 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#280) | -1.18 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#281) | -1.13 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#298) | 0.452 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 27.2 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.5% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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