I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Bellarmine Knights
81 – 68
FINAL ASUN Championship
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
Freedom Hall (KY) · March 4, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread BELL -3.0 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total BELL win
Actual BELL +13 149 Won
Massey BELL -1.0 (+12.0) — —
Massey Totals — 147.7 (+1.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 56% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 57% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BELL -0.5 (+12.5) 148.4 (+0.6) 53% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BELL -2.0 (+11.0) 148.1 (+0.9) 57% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BELL -1.5 (+11.5) 148.2 (+0.8) 54% ✓
Baseline ML BELL -0.5 (+12.5) 150.0 (-1.0) 52% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 BELL 81 – 65 FGCU
Feb 27, 2025 FGCU 80 – 61 BELL
Jan 23, 2025 FGCU 77 – 61 BELL
Feb 11, 2024 FGCU 63 – 52 BELL
Jan 14, 2023 BELL 61 – 41 FGCU

Game Analysis

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