Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -450 BELL +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +11 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -7.6 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -4.9 (+6.1) | 141.0 (-26.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -5.5 (+5.5) | 138.0 (-23.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -5.2 (+5.8) | 138.7 (-23.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -5.0 (+6.0) | 141.4 (-26.4) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BELL 81 – 65 FGCU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | FGCU 80 – 61 BELL |
| Jan 23, 2025 | FGCU 77 – 61 BELL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BELL 61 – 41 FGCU |
| Mar 4, 2022 | BELL 81 – 68 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 4-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#259) | -9.2 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#279) | -1.85 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#271) | -2.24 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#281) | 0.420 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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