Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | BELL +188 FGCU -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +20 | 102 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -5.7 (+25.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (-31.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -6.3 (+26.3) | 132.8 (-30.8) | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -6.2 (+26.2) | 130.4 (-28.4) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -5.7 (+25.7) | 136.5 (-34.5) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -6.0 (+26.0) | 136.7 (-34.7) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BELL 81 – 65 FGCU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | FGCU 80 – 61 BELL |
| Jan 23, 2025 | FGCU 77 – 61 BELL |
| Feb 11, 2024 | FGCU 63 – 52 BELL |
| Mar 4, 2022 | BELL 81 – 68 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-12 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#289) | 3.1 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#279) | 1.28 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#275) | 1.64 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#252) | 0.576 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 26.7 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 5.5 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 19.5% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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