Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -1200 BELL +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +19 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -15.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -12.4 (+6.6) | 147.9 (-6.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -11.4 (+7.6) | 145.9 (-4.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -12.4 (+6.6) | 148.9 (-7.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -12.6 (+6.4) | 150.8 (-9.8) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BELL 81 – 65 FGCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | FGCU 77 – 61 BELL |
| Feb 11, 2024 | FGCU 63 – 52 BELL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BELL 61 – 41 FGCU |
| Mar 4, 2022 | BELL 81 – 68 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 2-16 |
| Home | 11-5 | 5-10 |
| Away | 7-9 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#167) | -12.6 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#169) | -3.20 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#181) | -3.40 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#167) | 0.356 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 28.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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