Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | BELL +500 FGCU -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +16 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -12.1 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -13.2 (-2.8) | 140.4 (-2.4) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -11.0 (-5.0) | 139.7 (-1.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -12.7 (-3.3) | 141.3 (-3.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -12.1 (-3.9) | 142.5 (-4.5) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BELL 81 – 65 FGCU |
| Feb 27, 2025 | FGCU 80 – 61 BELL |
| Feb 11, 2024 | FGCU 63 – 52 BELL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | BELL 61 – 41 FGCU |
| Mar 4, 2022 | BELL 81 – 68 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 13-5 |
| Home | 5-10 | 11-5 |
| Away | 0-16 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -14.9 (#353) | 0.7 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.62 (#360) | 0.00 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.11 (#358) | -0.08 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.343 (#361) | 0.509 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | FGCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 28.2 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.2% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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