Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | SPU -105 SIE -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +5 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -0.8 (+5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -0.2 (+5.2) | 134.5 (+0.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -0.1 (+5.1) | 133.3 (+1.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -0.0 (+5.0) | 136.4 (-1.4) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -0.2 (+5.2) | 137.0 (-2.0) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SIE 72 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIE 77 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SPU 75 – 53 SIE |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SPU 63 – 52 SIE |
| Mar 4, 2023 | SPU 73 – 72 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-12 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 13-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#239) | -1.0 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#202) | -0.09 (#180) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#209) | -0.17 (#180) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#163) | 0.508 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.2% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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