Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +9 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -5.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -3.8 (+5.2) | 136.4 (-1.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -3.4 (+5.6) | 136.5 (-1.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -4.4 (+4.6) | 135.7 (-0.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -3.9 (+5.1) | 135.8 (-0.8) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SPU 70 – 65 SIE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIE 77 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SPU 75 – 53 SIE |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SPU 63 – 52 SIE |
| Mar 4, 2023 | SPU 73 – 72 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#198) | -4.8 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.23 (#191) | -0.29 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#197) | -0.57 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#167) | 0.511 (#153) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 35.1% |
Game Analysis
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