Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | SIE +350 SPU -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +11 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | SPU -11.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -11.6 (+0.6) | 127.6 (-12.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -9.5 (-1.5) | 125.0 (-10.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -10.9 (-0.1) | 124.8 (-9.8) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -10.2 (-0.8) | 126.9 (-11.9) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SIE 72 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | SPU 70 – 65 SIE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIE 77 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SPU 75 – 53 SIE |
| Mar 4, 2023 | SPU 73 – 72 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 12-8 |
| Home | 2-12 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.4 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 63.8 |
| Massey | -15.8 (#356) | -1.2 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.32 (#342) | -0.19 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.02 (#344) | -0.16 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#332) | 0.491 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 44.5% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 32.0% |
Game Analysis
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