Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | SPU +160 SIE -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +1 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -4.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.8 (+19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -4.0 (+5.0) | 129.2 (+15.8) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -2.3 (+3.3) | 124.1 (+20.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -3.7 (+4.7) | 129.8 (+15.2) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -3.9 (+4.9) | 131.0 (+14.0) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | SIE 72 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | SPU 70 – 65 SIE |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SIE 77 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SPU 75 – 53 SIE |
| Jan 28, 2024 | SPU 63 – 52 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 11-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.9 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.5 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#312) | -1.2 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#309) | -0.34 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#311) | -0.17 (#186) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#309) | 0.482 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.1% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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