Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | CSUN -575 UCR +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +14 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -8.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -7.2 (+6.8) | 152.6 (+9.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -7.6 (+6.4) | 151.4 (+10.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -7.3 (+6.7) | 150.3 (+11.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -7.1 (+6.9) | 152.0 (+10.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCR 95 – 84 CSUN |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCR 94 – 79 CSUN |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCR 68 – 64 CSUN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 70 UCR |
| Jan 21, 2024 | UCR 82 – 63 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 5-15 |
| Home | 12-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#197) | -7.8 (#289) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#148) | -1.05 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#171) | -1.04 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#138) | 0.467 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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