Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN -190 UCR +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +4 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUN -15.8 (-19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -9.6 (-13.6) | 148.4 (-16.4) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -11.1 (-15.1) | 149.2 (-17.2) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -11.6 (-15.6) | 149.9 (-17.9) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -11.6 (-15.6) | 150.3 (-18.3) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCR 95 – 84 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CSUN 88 – 74 UCR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCR 94 – 79 CSUN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 70 UCR |
| Jan 21, 2024 | UCR 82 – 63 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 10-7 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 7.8 (#74) | -3.0 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#65) | 0.47 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#72) | -0.56 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#132) | 0.539 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.6% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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