Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN -110 UCR +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +6 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -5.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -2.0 (+4.0) | 141.4 (+4.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -3.5 (+2.5) | 141.0 (+5.0) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -3.6 (+2.4) | 140.5 (+5.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -3.2 (+2.8) | 142.4 (+3.6) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCR 95 – 84 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CSUN 88 – 74 UCR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCR 94 – 79 CSUN |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCR 68 – 64 CSUN |
| Jan 21, 2024 | UCR 82 – 63 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 9-7 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#225) | -4.8 (#259) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#185) | -0.96 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#213) | -1.10 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#219) | 0.446 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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