Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | UCR +180 CSUN -218 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +11 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -3.8 (+14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (+21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUN -3.1 (+14.1) | 153.8 (+25.2) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -4.1 (+15.1) | 152.2 (+26.8) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -3.2 (+14.2) | 149.2 (+29.8) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -3.0 (+14.0) | 150.9 (+28.1) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | CSUN 88 – 74 UCR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCR 94 – 79 CSUN |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCR 68 – 64 CSUN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 70 UCR |
| Jan 21, 2024 | UCR 82 – 63 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 3-15 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 80.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#282) | -0.5 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#283) | 0.32 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#258) | 0.17 (#150) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#273) | 0.518 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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