Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | UCR -105 CSUN -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +15 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -0.8 (+15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.1 (+14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -1.1 (+13.9) | 158.3 (+14.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUN -0.2 (+15.2) | 156.4 (+16.6) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -1.2 (+13.8) | 156.8 (+16.2) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -0.7 (+14.3) | 159.6 (+13.4) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCR 95 – 84 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CSUN 88 – 74 UCR |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCR 68 – 64 CSUN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 70 UCR |
| Jan 21, 2024 | UCR 82 – 63 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-11 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#149) | 4.8 (#99) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.04 (#87) | 1.08 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#109) | 1.16 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#64) | 0.526 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 34.7% |
Game Analysis
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