Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | UCR -150 CSUN +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +19 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | CSUN -0.6 (+19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -0.1 (+18.9) | 146.4 (-1.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -1.5 (+17.5) | 144.1 (+0.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUN -0.1 (+19.1) | 145.3 (-0.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUN -0.0 (+19.0) | 145.5 (-0.5) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCR 95 – 84 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CSUN 88 – 74 UCR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCR 94 – 79 CSUN |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCR 68 – 64 CSUN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 70 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-12 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#271) | -1.3 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#277) | 0.47 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#276) | 0.17 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#283) | 0.497 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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