Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UIC +114 BEL -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +6 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | BEL -4.3 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -2.2 (-3.8) | 147.4 (-17.4) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -1.1 (-4.9) | 145.5 (-15.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -2.0 (-4.0) | 146.5 (-16.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -2.3 (-3.7) | 147.8 (-17.8) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | BEL 87 – 84 UIC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BEL 92 – 87 UIC |
| Feb 18, 2024 | BEL 75 – 60 UIC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | BEL 74 – 65 UIC |
| Feb 11, 2023 | BEL 98 – 71 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 26-6 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 16-4 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-9 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 83.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#135) | 9.6 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#169) | 1.76 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#156) | 2.56 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#151) | 0.585 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 52.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 41.0% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 61.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 36.9% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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