Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | UIC +120 BEL -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +15 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -1.6 (-16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -0.7 (-14.3) | 148.2 (-13.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -1.1 (-13.9) | 145.0 (-10.0) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -1.2 (-16.2) | 146.4 (-11.4) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -0.1 (-15.1) | 148.5 (-13.5) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BEL 68 – 62 UIC |
| Dec 13, 2025 | BEL 87 – 84 UIC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BEL 92 – 87 UIC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | BEL 74 – 65 UIC |
| Feb 11, 2023 | BEL 98 – 71 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-8 |
| Home | 6-9 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#176) | 1.0 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#229) | 0.61 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#195) | 0.75 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#233) | 0.543 (#105) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | BEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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