Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -250 UIC +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +5 | 179 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -5.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -2.8 (+2.2) | 155.6 (+23.4) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -2.4 (+2.6) | 155.0 (+24.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -2.2 (+2.8) | 156.4 (+22.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -2.5 (+2.5) | 154.9 (+24.1) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BEL 68 – 62 UIC |
| Dec 13, 2025 | BEL 87 – 84 UIC |
| Feb 18, 2024 | BEL 75 – 60 UIC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | BEL 74 – 65 UIC |
| Feb 11, 2023 | BEL 98 – 71 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 9-4 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#133) | 0.7 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#94) | 1.07 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#121) | 0.90 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#80) | 0.575 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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