Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | BEL -225 UIC +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -3.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -3.1 (+5.9) | 147.0 (-8.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -4.3 (+4.7) | 145.6 (-6.6) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -2.9 (+6.1) | 146.3 (-7.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -3.1 (+5.9) | 146.6 (-7.6) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BEL 68 – 62 UIC |
| Dec 13, 2025 | BEL 87 – 84 UIC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BEL 92 – 87 UIC |
| Feb 18, 2024 | BEL 75 – 60 UIC |
| Feb 11, 2023 | BEL 98 – 71 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 4-16 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-9 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#170) | -0.2 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#127) | -0.82 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#129) | -0.42 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#98) | 0.470 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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