Betting Lines
| Spread | BEL -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | BEL -1000 UIC +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BEL +3 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | BEL -19.2 (-16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BEL -14.1 (-11.1) | 147.6 (+23.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BEL -16.4 (-13.4) | 145.8 (+25.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BEL -17.4 (-14.4) | 145.8 (+25.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BEL -16.6 (-13.6) | 145.6 (+25.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | BEL 68 – 62 UIC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BEL 92 – 87 UIC |
| Feb 18, 2024 | BEL 75 – 60 UIC |
| Jan 27, 2024 | BEL 74 – 65 UIC |
| Feb 11, 2023 | BEL 98 – 71 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BEL | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-6 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 11-3 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.5 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#47) | -3.4 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#43) | -1.32 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.26 (#37) | -1.24 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#78) | 0.425 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BEL | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.5% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.2% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 39.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 35.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.2% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 61.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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