Betting Lines
| Spread | FAMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | FAMU -130 TXSO +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +5 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | FAMU -2.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-29.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAMU -2.1 (-7.1) | 141.9 (-22.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAMU -2.5 (-7.5) | 141.0 (-22.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAMU -2.2 (-7.2) | 142.0 (-23.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAMU -3.1 (-8.1) | 140.8 (-21.8) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2025 | FAMU 66 – 64 TXSO |
| Feb 10, 2024 | TXSO 78 – 75 FAMU |
| Feb 4, 2023 | FAMU 76 – 69 TXSO |
| Feb 5, 2022 | TXSO 67 – 55 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAMU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 80.0 |
| Massey | -12.6 (#338) | -12.3 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.49 (#300) | -2.20 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#291) | -2.72 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#320) | 0.395 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAMU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.7% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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